“Water is the Driver of
Nature”
- Leonardo da Vinci.
Water resource
is vital for all living creatures of the planet. Yet, here is one question; how
should it be managed so that all can enjoy and benefit from it equally.
The Kyrgyz Republic is one of the main countries
that must think about this question most, because it has a vast amount of water
resource in Central Asia which is used by its neighboring states such as Xinjiang
province in China, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Annual
average of total water resources makes up 2,458 cubic kilometers including 50
cubic kilometers of surface river run off, 13 cubic kilometers of potential
reserves of ground water, 1,745 cubic kilometers of lake water, 650 cubic
kilometers of glaciers in Kyrgyzstan’s territory. Besides, more than 3,500 rivers flowing on the territory of
the republic supply water to the neighboring states: Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan,
and Tajikistan. About 75 per cent of river runoff goes to them.
Therefore,
Kyrgyzstan, together with Tajikistan, plays a main role in any round tables and
meetings where water issues are discussed.
Nowadays, water
resource is being an interstate issue especially in Central Asia. However, five
post-soviet countries of the region are not being able to approach to
compromise. There are only two upstream countries in the region Tajikistan and the
Kyrgyz Republic which cannot come to compromise with such downstream states as Turkmenistan,
Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.
Economy of all the five countries is heavily
dependent on agriculture, especially Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan with their
annually increasing cotton fields. Thus, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan need water
for their cotton and rice fields more than any other states of the region. Besides,
Uzbekistan’s agriculture accounts for 28 per cent of its GDP.
Kazakhstan also needs water for its fields but
it grows mostly wheat which requires less amount of water than rice and cotton.
According to UN figures, rice uses an average of 30,000 cubic meters of water
per hectare, cotton 12,000 cubic meters, and wheat just 5000 cubic meters.
Another factor causing the demand increase of
water resources is a population rate increase. Annual population growth of
Tajikistan is 3 per cent, Uzbekistan’s population grows by 2 per cent a year,
Kyrgyzstan’s lower at 1,5 per cent.
All the aforementioned facts, causing the
increase of the demand of water resource, bring to the rise of disputable
relations on water issues among the states of Central Asia.
According to some international analysis
water is being most politicized resource in recent decades. At least 42 violent
conflicts took place worldwide since the start of the last century according to
them.
Unfortunately, we can see the similar
problematic picture in Central Asia as well. There has been constant tension
among the states especially over the two rivers Syr Darya and Amu Darya. The
reason behind is that these two rivers are the main rivers of the region.
Besides, they account for nearly 90 per cent of the region’s water resources.
The tension
among the states increased so much that in 1996’s report Uzbekistan mentioned that it would be
willing to use its military forces to seize the Toktogul Dam in Kyrgyzstan if
its water security was threatened.
All the water disputes
exist since the independence from USSR, although, after getting independence,
five countries signed an Almaty Agreement in 1992 where they set quotas for
water use. Nevertheless, the agreements nature was made in regard to the USSR’s
water management system which was not in favor of the upstream states;
Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.
In fact, during Soviet Union all the
downstream countries were the producers of cotton. Thus, they were given
preference during the decision making process in Moscow. At that time USSR was
centralized and all its members had common economy, policy and ideology. However,
today there are five independent countries in Central Asia with separate
economies, policies and even ideologies unlike USSR.
Some scholars say this “Nevertheless, the bulk
of the region’s water resources are still allocated to the downstream
countries, leaving the upstream states with little access to the water
generator on their territory.” This
little access of upstream counties is, according to most scholars, is the
reason of the Almaty Agreement where they set quotas for water usage. Thanks to
this agreement Uzbekistan alone consumes half of the water resources of the
region.
The main
consumers of water resource in the region are Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan,
although Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan have over 90 per cent of the water resources
of the region. Thus, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are not happy with upstream
countries to control their water flow. However, Kyrgyzstan asked Uzbekistan and
Kazakhstan to share the costs of maintaining and operating the Toktogul
Reservoir in 1990’s. In fact the cost of
maintaining the reservoir was estimated at between US $15 million and US $27
million per year. Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan turned down the request of Kyrgyzstan. Some
analytics point out that Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan lost their opportunity by
refusing Kyrgyzstan’s request.
The upstream countries see water as a commodity for trade and profit. However, the downstream countries claim that water is the natural resource which all people should enjoy equally and it should not be owned by any countries.
However,
Kyrgyzstan has law on interstate use of water resources which says: “water has
its own economy value and is owned by the state. Water resources are created on
Kyrgyz territory are the property of the country, and neighbors should,
therefore, pay for it.”
Recommendation:
Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are the main
players of water disputes of the region. Therefore, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan
should act together further. Kyrgyzstan should have more negotiations and
meetings, devoted to water management, with Tajikistan. In these meetings
Kyrgyzstan must try to persuade Tajikistan to demand downstream countries
cancel Almaty Agreement and demand another agreement, on water resource
management, to be signed.
Then Kyrgyzstan must persuade the downstream
states that it is spending money on reconstruction and maintenance of water
channels and rivers in its territory. Besides, Kyrgyzstan needs budget for the
maintenance of its dams.
Toktobek Omokeev
Toktobek Omokeev
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